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  1. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    Let’s not celebrate just yet. Even if there's a ceasefire on paper, Iran was never going to fight a conventional war unless we actually invaded. Short of that, their strategy is asymmetric: proxies, cyber attacks, regional disruption and economic pressure. Those tools don't go away because...
  2. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    Exactly. And it gets even worse when you remember the world still runs on the petrodollar. Disruptions like that don't just mess with oil. They shake everything tied to dollar-based trade. If oil flow slows, the ripple effect hits global shipping, currency markets and commodity prices...
  3. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    They don’t need to "hold" the Strait, just make it risky. A few mines, missiles or drone hits are enough to spike prices and force reroutes. That's exactly what happened with the Houthis in the Red Sea, and they're way less capable than Iran. China might not like disruption, but they can't...
  4. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    I don't think wonko is saying Iran produces 1/5 of the world's oil. I suspect he meant that the Strait of Hormuz handles about 20% of all global oil shipments, which is absolutely true. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=65504 It's not about Iran's output, it's about their...
  5. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    Markets don't wait for a full-scale war. Just the threat of Iran messing with shipping can spike oil prices and disrupt trade. We've already seen that with the Houthis, and Iran's got way more reach. Sure, Iran's not what it was a year ago, but it's not Libya either. It's bigger, more dug in...
  6. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    The IAEA confirmed multiple times that Iran was complying with the deal until the US pulled out: https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/iran-is-implementing-nuclear-related-jcpoa-commitments-director-general-amano-tells-iaea-board The higher enrichment only started after the deal collapsed. And...
  7. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    Sure, we could blast the Strait open in a day, but Iran doesn't need to win a naval battle. They just need to threaten shipping enough to spook markets. Even a few mines or missile strikes could drive oil to $150+ and mess with global trade. It's not about military parity. It's about how...
  8. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    The US and Canada produce a lot, sure, but it's not as simple as "we have a surplus, so we're fine." We mostly drill light crude but import heavy crude because our refineries are built for it. Canada's in a similar spot: they export tons of heavy crude, but still import lighter oil for their...
  9. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    The IAEA did find traces enriched to 83.7%, but even they said it was likely unintentional. It was probably a fluctuation during calibration, not sustained enrichment. Iran hasn't stockpiled uranium above 60%, which is still short of weapons-grade (90%+). So far, there's no evidence they've...
  10. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    The ISIS report shows Iran's enriching a lot, yeah, but it doesn’t prove they’re building a bomb. Even US intel says they haven't restarted a weapons program. People are twisting "breakout potential" into "they’re about to nuke us" to justify strikes. That's the same fear-mongering playbook...
  11. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    We'll just have to see if this begins and ends with bombing Iran's "nuclear program."
  12. Pale Rider

    P&R Funnies!

    https://theonion.com/letter-to-congress/
  13. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    He's just going to insist that he saved us all from Iran's nukes. They were probably just about to launch right before our bombs dropped. Therefore, he deserves the Nobel Peace Prize.
  14. Pale Rider

    Iran. Nuff said.

    hIlLaRy/bIdEn/hArRiS WiLl sTaRt wOrLd wAr iIi!
  15. Pale Rider

    What stupid thing did the GOP say or do this time? Episode 3!

    It's actually really simple. You're watching an Israel shill get torn apart by a Putin puppet. Iran is one of Russia's strategic partners, so of course Putin doesn't want regime change there. Carlson isn't defending Iran out of principle, he's just siding with Russia by default.
  16. Pale Rider

    Traitor Watch - The 45 & 47 Thread

    FB friend:
  17. Pale Rider

    Traitor Watch - The 45 & 47 Thread

    FB friend:
  18. Pale Rider

    P&R Funnies!



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