Pale Rider's latest activity

  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    He said "people like the Houthis," not "the Houthis will close Hormuz." The point is Iran already has other proxy groups they can lean...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    Meanwhile, the big takeaway for every regime watching? Get nukes. Iraq didn't have them. Libya gave them up. North Korea kept theirs...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    Let’s not celebrate just yet. Even if there's a ceasefire on paper, Iran was never going to fight a conventional war unless we actually...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider reacted to Dekafox's post in the thread Iran. Nuff said. with Sad Sad.
    Wouldn't be just oil either, depending on how much other shipping uses that strait. When the Houthis were striking merchant traffic, it...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    Exactly. And it gets even worse when you remember the world still runs on the petrodollar. Disruptions like that don't just mess with...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    They don’t need to "hold" the Strait, just make it risky. A few mines, missiles or drone hits are enough to spike prices and force...
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  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider reacted to wonko the sane?'s post in the thread Iran. Nuff said. with Like Like.
    Thank you Rider.
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    I don't think wonko is saying Iran produces 1/5 of the world's oil. I suspect he meant that the Strait of Hormuz handles about 20% of...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    Markets don't wait for a full-scale war. Just the threat of Iran messing with shipping can spike oil prices and disrupt trade. We've...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    The IAEA confirmed multiple times that Iran was complying with the deal until the US pulled out...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider reacted to wonko the sane?'s post in the thread Iran. Nuff said. with Like Like.
    Not an energy recession (though there will be that as well.) an economy recession, if not worse: we were on track for that anyway until...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    Sure, we could blast the Strait open in a day, but Iran doesn't need to win a naval battle. They just need to threaten shipping enough...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    The US and Canada produce a lot, sure, but it's not as simple as "we have a surplus, so we're fine." We mostly drill light crude but...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    The IAEA did find traces enriched to 83.7%, but even they said it was likely unintentional. It was probably a fluctuation during...
  • Pale Rider
    Pale Rider replied to the thread Iran. Nuff said..
    The ISIS report shows Iran's enriching a lot, yeah, but it doesn’t prove they’re building a bomb. Even US intel says they haven't...


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